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The Road to Stability and Prosperity in South Eastern Europe
A Regional Strategy Paper
March 1, 2000

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Contents

Currency Equivalents (pdf, 7 KB)

Acronyms and Abbreviations

Acknowledgements

Executive Summary

  1. The Road to Stability and Prosperity in South Eastern Europe – A Strategic Approach

    2. A. Introduction and Overview
    B. The South Eastern Europe Region: A Brief Snapshot
    C. The Key Components of a Strategy for Peace, Stability and Prosperity in the SEE Region
    D. Sound Domestic Policies – A Necessary Condition for Success
    E. Integration With European and Global Structures – The Crucial Incentive for Success
    F. Roadmap and Brief Overview of the Report

  2. Economic and Social Developments and Progress on Reform in South Eastern Europe
    3.

    A. Introduction
    B. Recent Economic Performance
    C. Progress in Living Standards
    D. Progress On Economic Reform
    E. Conclusion

  3. Trade Integration for South Eastern Europe in the Context of the Stability Pact

    4. A. Introduction
    B. Trade Patterns
    C. Trade Policies and Institutions
    D. Elements of a Strategy for Trade Integration
    E. Conclusion

  4. Creating an Appropriate Enabling Environment for Private Sector Development

    5. A. Introduction
    B. Accelerating Growth Through a Stable, Transparent and Uniform Investment Framework
    C. Initiatives for SME Development
    D. The Role of Privatization and Private Participation in Infrastructure
    E. Conclusion

  5. Social Inclusion and Social Change – Conditions for Peace and Prosperity in the SEE Region

A. Introduction
B. The Need to Reduce Social Exclusion
C. Investing in Social Cohesion and Institutional Capacity
D. Education-Investing for Social Change and Human Capital Formation
E. A Focus on Youth – Creating Opportunities for Employment and Integration
F. Creating an Inclusive Civil Society
G. Opening Media and Knowledge Transfer
H. Protecting Social Rights
I. Conclusion

  1. The Need for Strong Institutions and Good Governance
    2.

    A. Introduction
    B. Weak Public Sector Institutions – An Impediment for Private Sector Development
    C. Checks, Balances and Social Cohesion
    D. Building a Stronger Public Sector
    E. Combating Corruption
    F. Monitoring for Long -Term Institutions Building
    G. Conclusion and Preliminary Action Plan

  2. Infrastructure Programs in Support of Economic Growth and Regional Integration
    3.

    A. Introduction
    B. Transport Sector
    C. Telecommunications
    D. Energy
    E. Conclusion

  3. Environment Programs in Support of Economic Growth and Regional Integration

A. Introduction
B. Geographic Overview
C. Environment Impacts of War
D. Natural Resource Management Sector
E. Pollution Control Sector: Water, Industrial, Solid Waste, Nuclear Power and Safety
F. Environmental Policy, Legislation and Institutions
G. Conclusion

Annex Table 1 (pdf, 68 KB)

Annex Table 2 (pdf, 32 KB) 32 KB)

List of Tables

Table 1.1:

Basic Data: The SEE Region

Table 2.1:

Economic Performance, 1989-1998

Table 2.2:

SEE Region – Aggregate Savings-Investment Balance (as percentage of GDP)

Table 2.3:

Summary of Social Indicators for SEE, 1997

Table 2.4:

Infant Mortality Rate (per thousand live births)

Table 2.5:

Under-five Mortality (per thousand live births)

Table 2.6:

Progress Towards Reform in the Real Sector

Table 2.7:

Comparative Indicators of the Financial Sector in SEE-6 Countries

Table 2.8:

Obstacles Facing SMES: Comparative Survey (Responses from SMEs)

Table 3.1:

Trade Openness: 1998 (in %)

Table 3.2a:

Direction of Trade Flows of the SEEC-7, by Major Partner, 1998 in Millions U.S.

Table 3.2b:

Direction of Trade Flows of the SEEC-7, by Major Partner, 1998 in %

Table 3.3:

Commodity Composition of SEE Exports to the EU in 1998 in Thousand ECU and as % of Total

Table 3.4:

Composition of EC Imports from SEE Countries in % of Total EC Imports by Sector

Table 5.1:

Major Ethnic Groups in SEE Countries

Table 5.2:

Currently Displaced Persons (Refugees and IDPs) in SEE Region

Table 5.3:

Educational Indicators In SEE Countries

Table 5.4:

Levels of Unemployment in SEE Countries (annual average, percentage)

Table 6.1:

Selected Corruption Indicators

Table 6.2:

Selected Legal/Judicial Indicators

Table 6.3:

Selected Indicators on Political Process/Accountability/Participatory Institutions

Table 6.4:

Indicators on Government Services

Table 6.5:

Indicators on Predictability of Public Sector

Table 6.6:

Transparency International Corruption Indicators

Table 7.1:

Road Fatalities in the SEE Countries, the EU and the USA

Table 7.2:

Telecommunications Systems

Table 7.3:

Energy Use (1995)

Table 7.4:

Selection Criteria Matrix for SEE Regional Infrastructure Projects (pdf, 14 KB)

Table 8.1:

Population and Population Density

Table 8.2:

Land Use in the South Eastern Europe Region

Table 8.3:

International Tourism Receipts

Table 8.4:

Protected Areas as a Percentage of Land Area

Table 8.5:

Water Resources

Table 8.6:

CO2 Emissions and Vehicle Use

Table 8.7:

Government Commitment/Treaties Signed

Table 8.8:

Participating Countries in Selected Multilateral Environmental Frameworks

Table 8.9:

Selection Criteria Matrix for SEE Regional Environmental Projects (pdf, 14 KB)

List of Boxes

Box 1.1:

The Stability Pact and Donor Coordination Mechanisms

Box 1.2:

Domestic Reform Priorities

Box 1.3:

Regional Integration Arrangements: Economic and Political Implications

Box 1.4:

Stabilization and Association Agreements

Box 2.1:

Characteristics of Poverty in the SEE Region

Box 2.2:

Obstacles to SME Development in the SEE Region

Box 3.1:

Trade Policy in SEE Countries

Box 3.2:

Trade Agreements Between the EU and SEE Countries

Box 4.1:

EBRD Support for Private Infrastructure

Box 5.1:

FYR of Macedonia: Promoting Inter-Ethnic Dialogue and Supporting the Learning Environment of Youth Affected by the Crisis

Box 6.1:

Budget Management Reforms in South Eastern Europe

Box 6.2:

Public Administration in Romania

Box 6.3:

Action Against Corruption in Albania

Box 6.4:

Stability Pact For South East Europe Anti-corruption Initiative

Box 7.1:

Trade and Transportation Facilitation Program for South Eastern Europe (TTFSE)

List of Charts

Chart 2.1:

Index of Real GDP Weighted Average for Central and South Eastern Europe

Chart 2.2:

Productivity Index Weighted Average for Central Eastern Europe

Chart 2.3:

Registered Unemployment Rates in SEE and CEE, 1989-99

Chart 2.4:

Total Fertility Rates, 1980-97, SEE and CEE/CIS

Chart 2.5:

1999 Transition Indicators

Chart 7.1:

Private Sector Infrastructure Investment in Developing Countries

Chart 7.2:

Recent Trends in Railways Traffic

   

Vice President:
Regional Coordinator, SEE:
Sector Director:
Task Managers:

Johannes Linn, ECAVP
Christiaan Poortman, ECC04
Pradeep Mitra, ECSPE
Daniela Gressani, ECSPE
Arntraud Hartmann, ECC02
Kyle Peters, ECSPE


The Road to Stability and Prosperity in South Eastern Europe is also available in PDF format (850 KB)

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