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Table
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Inclusion and Social Change-Conditions for Peace and Prosperity in
the SEE Region
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The Road to Stability and Prosperity in South
Eastern Europe
A Regional Strategy Paper
Chapter 4: Creating
an Appropriate Enabling Environment for Private Sector Development
A. Introduction
4.1 Social and political stability will be greatly enhanced
through the achievement of sustained economic growth. In turn,
sustained economic growth can only be achieved with a stable and
certain environment for the private sector. As noted earlier,
much progress is still required on domestic reforms to put in
place a stable macroeconomic climate and a market economy.
Ensuring that adequate progress is achieved on the reform agenda
of individual countries is the sole responsibility of the
respective governments. If the governments do not embrace this
responsibility, "regional initiatives" will be
ineffective. Without these domestic reforms to put in place an
appropriate policy, legal and administrative framework, the
private sector will not be able to play its role. In fact, in an
environment lacking transparency and competition, the private
sector may even develop into an obstacle to market-based
efficiency and fairness.
4.2 Nevertheless, the Stability Pact partners have a crucial
role to play in supporting the SEE countries in their reform
efforts through regional initiatives designed to support the
implementation of reforms and to magnify their impact. The
ultimate goal of a regional approach to supporting private
sector development is the creation of a vibrant private sector
exchanging goods and investing freely across borders in a region
that is integrated closely with the larger European and global
economy. The clear prospect of future integration into European
and global structures that underlies the Stability Pact would
help to mobilize political resources for change, raise investor
interest in the region and build confidence in the future
stability of the business environment.
4.3 This Chapter looks in depth at regional initiatives that
would facilitate the creation of a stable, transparent and
non-discriminatory environment for private enterprises to take
the risk of investing and producing in the SEE countries.37 In
fact, it will be the willingness of private entrepreneurs to
take these risks that will transform the opportunities created
by increased integration in the global economy into higher
growth and employment generation. After this introductory section,
Sections B and C discuss initiatives to improve the investment
climate for both foreign and domestic investors, and to support
small and medium enterprises, which are expected to be the main
engines of growth and private sector development in the SEE region, as
elsewhere. Section D discusses the role of privatization and
private participation in infrastructure, and Section E
concludes this Chapter.
B. Accelerating Growth Through a Stable, Transparent and Uniform
Investment Framework
4.4 The initiatives described in Chapter 3 to foster trade
integration in the global economy are one key component of the
effort to create a dynamic private sector that trades and
invests freely across borders. Seizing the opportunities
presented by an opening of trade, both within the region and
with the broader international community, will be possible only
if domestic and foreign entrepreneurs increase their investment
dramatically. As discussed in detail elsewhere,38 a sizeable and
sustained increase in private investment will in turn require a
significant improvement in the overall investment framework,
including: adequate protection of property rights; fair and
non-discriminatory taxation; market-based competition; sound
corporate governance; and transparent, effectively enforced
administrative practices.
4.5 Progress toward the establishment of these prerequisites
has been made at different speeds in the SEE region, but has in
general lagged behind the economies of Central Europe. As
documented in the EBRD Transition Report 1999, survey
results and other indicators of the quality of the investment
climate reveal that the economies of South Eastern Europe are
characterized by widespread perceptions of corruption and
cronyism, and of unpredictability in the implementation of the
regulatory framework by the public administration.
The Investment Compact for the SEE
Region
4.6 Governments throughout the region must do much more to
create the conditions under which the private sector will
invest. With the objective to establish a stable, transparent
and uniform framework for private sector investment, the
Governments of the region, in collaboration with their partners
in the Stability Pact, decided to pursue the implementation of
the Compact for Reform, Investment, Integrity and Growth
(referred to as the Investment Compact). The Investment Compact
outlines a very ambitious agenda of legal, regulatory and
institutional reforms, to establish fair and non-discriminatory
treatment of domestic and foreign investors, with full
protection of their property rights, not only by the letter of
the law but also by its administrative implementation and
judicial enforcement. The specific policy areas covered by the
Investment Compact include: banking; capital markets; corporate
governance; policies and promotion strategies for foreign direct
investment; commercial law, including business licensing and
formation; administrative efficiency and bureaucratic obstacles
for private sector initiative; competition law and policy;
fighting bribery and corruption; the system of justice; SME
support; privatization; fiscal reform and taxes; and accounting
regimes and practices.
4.7 The commitment of the Governments of South Eastern Europe
to the introduction and implementation of the Investment Compact
will be supported by Governments outside the region,
international institutions and other donors. Following the
finalization and approval of the Investment Compact by the
Governments of South Eastern Europe, technical support and
assistance to strengthen institutional capacity to implement it
will need to be mobilized.
4.8 The Stability Pact Working Table II agreed that a
Coordination Group, supported by the OECD, would be charged with
the development of a roadmap for the implementation of the
Investment Compact. A draft roadmap was developed by the OECD in
the autumn of 1999, setting out a three-phase approach (i)
diagnosis of current investment conditions in the countries of
the region; (ii) development of country-specific policy
recommendations and the design of regional policy initiatives;
and (iii) monitoring progress in policy implementation,
improvement of the investment conditions and actual investment
performance in South Eastern Europe. The finalization of the
roadmap will continue to require the active participation of
Governments, business communities, civil society, and
international institutions. Emphasis will be needed in
particular on the strengthening of public institutions—including
both state and local administrations—which generally requires
long gestation periods and sustained attention by policy makers.
(This topic will be discussed in detail later in the report.)
4.9 The first stage envisaged in the draft roadmap involves
collecting information on policy areas that are vital to reform,
revitalization and reconstruction of the SEE economies through
increasing local and foreign direct investment. On the basis of
the currently available information, a few preliminary
conclusions can be drawn at this stage:
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The SEE countries are in very different situations, with large
variations not only among countries but also, within countries,
among policy areas. The policy dialogue will have to reflect these
differences, reinforcing the need for a country-specific approach
that should be complemented by regional initiatives.
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Despite these differences, there is a strong need for regional
initiatives right from the start, if the potential positive
externalities of national reforms are to be fully exploited.
Policy areas with a clear international dimension are prime
candidate for regional initiatives.
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In many cases, key obstacles to a favorable investment climate
and areas for priority action relate to implementation and
enforcement of policies, rather than design and parliamentary
enactment of policies. Institution building—specifically the
capacity to undertake constructive action on an ongoing and
progressive basis—therefore seems to be a critical and priority
task.
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Timing and duration of the three phases of implementation
envisaged in the draft roadmap of the Investment Compact will vary
from country to country, reflecting their different stages of
economic development, needs for technical assistance, capacity to
engage in policy dialogue, and ability to follow through with
implementation.
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Given the complexity of the task, managing the expectations and
establishing realistic but tough timetables for action and results
will be crucial to ensure public support in the countries and in
the international community.
-
Close cooperation among governments, international organizations
and other agencies is essential for success. National project
teams would therefore could be very useful to complement the
overall implementation of the compact.
4.10 In addition to committing to the broad reform agenda
outline in the Investment Compact, the Governments of the SEE
region have agreed to take steps to ensure that: the countries
will adopt international norms for business taxation, public
procurement, and accounting standards; investment regulations
will adequately protect health, safety and the environment;
labor standards will be consistent with the 1998 ILO Declaration
on Fundamental Principles and Rights at Work; the countries will
embrace the OECD Principles of Corporate Governance and the OECD
Guidelines on Multinational Enterprises; and a dialogue will be
established between countries and the private sector, including
civil society and labor unions. In addition, the new Stability
Pact Anti-Corruption Initiative (see Box 6.4) includes
commitments to fighting bribery and corruption of public
officials—taking into account OECD and Council of Europe
conventions—and to fighting money laundering—taking into
account the recommendations of the international Task Force
Against Money Laundering.
Additional Measures for the Restoration of Investor Confidence
4.11 The creation of a climate conducive to a strong recovery
of private investment in SEE countries will greatly benefit from
the establishment of a stable, transparent and
non-discriminatory regulatory framework, along the lines
discussed above, but the restoration of investor confidence will
require more than the implementation of ambitious reforms.
Measures to improve security in general, and in particular to
facilitate the return of refugees and displaced persons and the
rightful repossession of their assets, will all contribute to
investor confidence. Initiatives to enhance economic cooperation
in the broader neighborhood of South Eastern Europe—for
example, the recently established Black Sea Trade and
Development Bank—can also play an important role.
4.12 The maintenance of a stable macroeconomic environment will
also be critical for the return of investor confidence. Low
inflation and stable exchange rates are as necessary for private
entrepreneurs to take risks as is a stable and transparent
regulatory framework. As discussed earlier in the report, the
SEE countries that have experienced periods of macroeconomic
instability recently—Albania, Bulgaria and Romania—have also
recorded particularly low levels of investment, below 20 percent
of GDP. Progress made towards macroeconomic stability in the SEE
region will thus need to be consolidated in order to provide a
more predictable and more stable framework for private
investment.
4.13 Finally, the international community can work with the
Governments of SEE countries to devise mechanisms for the
mitigation of political risks, in particular through the
provision of insurance and/or guarantees. Political risk
insurance facilities have been successfully implemented for
Bosnia and Herzegovina and for Albania, and a new one is under
development for FYR Macedonia. Building upon these experiences,
the creation of a regional facility for the countries of South
Eastern Europe is now being considered. A regional facility
would in fact realize significant benefits in terms of risk
pooling and economies of scale; would provide effective coverage
for intra-regional trade; and would facilitate the cooperation
with private political risk and export credit insurers—through
the development of relations with investors and financiers, the
sharing of information, and the marketing of guarantees.
C. Initiatives for SME Development
4.14 Small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) have a crucial
role in the transition process. Already SMEs make up the vast
majority of private businesses operating in the countries of
South Eastern Europe; and, because of their size and
adaptability, they are likely to be the largest source of
employment generation in the next few years. As in more mature
market economies, a vibrant SME sector will eventually become
not only a source of employment, but will also be a key source
of innovation, entrepreneurship, and productivity growth. The
development of dynamic SMEs also creates a group with a strong
interest in social stability and a healthy market economy. For
these reasons, improving the business environment for SME
development is a key objective of the policy framework for all
SEE countries.
4.15 SMEs are likely to benefit greatly from the improvement of
the business climate in the direction envisaged by the
Investment Compact for the SEE region. International experience
indicates that SMEs are at a strong disadvantage—as compared
with larger enterprises—when the investment framework is
opaque and uncertain, public officials have large discretion in
the administration of regulations and incentives, and entry
and/or competition are restricted.
A Three-Pillar Strategy for SMEs
4.16 An effective strategy directed to promoting SMEs and the
active support of governments from the region will however be
necessary. In fact, while many SEE countries have already seen
strong growth in SMEs, SMEs still face substantial obstacles. As
noted earlier in this report, a comparative study of constraints
faced by SMEs39—conducted in 1998 and covering Poland, Slovak
Republic, Romania, Ukraine and Russia—clearly identified
access to finance, complex tax systems and administrative
burdens as the principal hurdles; institutional infrastructure
to support SME information, legal and training needs was also
generally found to be weak. In particular, the study found that
Romania—the only SEE country in the sample—compared well
with the CIS economies, but had severe shortcomings compared to
Poland and Slovak Republic: limited access to credit, low levels
of trust in the court system to enforce claims, and the need to
pay significant bribes for access to basic public services.
Evidence for other SEE countries has also revealed patterns
similar to those found in Romania.40
4.17 As discussed in detail elsewhere,41 an effective strategy to
promote SMEs in the region must simultaneously tackle the three
"pillars" of (i) finance; (ii) improvements in the
business environment; and (iii) the strengthening of SME support
networks.
4.18 Finance. Throughout the region, SMEs lack adequate
access to credit and equity finance. This lack of access stems
from the weaknesses of banking institutions in the region, the
absence of capital markets, and the weak legal framework for
credit and collateral. Supportive action from the international
community is needed to address these weaknesses in the
institutional infrastructure and in the incentives of financial
intermediaries. One option in this area is to work with existing
financial intermediaries with the potential to reach SMEs and
with the commitment to develop SME finance into a core part of
their business. These will often be banks with wide branch
networks or a regional basis, such as savings and cooperative
banks.42 An effective strategy would be to provide technical
assistance in the specific skills required for SME finance and
to provide finance, on appropriate terms and maturities, to
these financial intermediaries. Another option is the
establishment of new institutions, e.g., regional equity or
small-enterprise development funds. These funds could elicit
sorely needed equity funding in combination with technical
support for SMEs in the SEE region. Successful examples include
the IFC’s Mekong Project Development Fund (MPDF) in Vietnam,
Lao PDR and Cambodia. The MPDF is a facility (supported
primarily by bilateral donor funds) to advise small- and
medium-scale enterprises on preparing business plans and
arranging financing for new investments, as well as investing in
such enterprises.
4.19 Improving the SME Business environment. As
discussed above, the costs imposed on SMEs by a hostile business
environment are generally more severe than those suffered by
larger firms. Thus, SMEs can also expected to greatly benefit
from the establishment of an efficient and non-discriminatory
investment framework, along the lines set out by the Investment
Compact for the SEE region. In particular, the establishment of
fair and transparent tax systems, and a regulatory framework
that allows SMEs to take advantage of the opportunities offered
by privatization, could greatly contribute to the development of
this sector. Strong commitment by the Governments of the region,
on the one hand, and technical support and assistance from the
international community, on the other, will be crucial. An
active policy dialogue through IMF and World Bank-supported
programs with authorities at different levels of government—since
many obstacles are local in nature—would also help to realize
these reforms. The establishment of business advisory councils,
as called for under the Stability Pact, would make an important
contribution to this process by ensuring that policy makers and
international institutions receive feedback and proposals from
the private business community.
4.20 Support networks. SMEs are at a disadvantage—often
because of limited linkages with other firms, insufficient
technical or financial resources, and lack of access to
information—not only when starting up but also when entering
new markets, or expanding their activities. Their support
requirements are often specific to stages in a small business’
development cycle: how to transform ideas into business plans,
how to find partners for expansion, etc. Assisting small
businesses in "helping themselves", whatever the
nature of the challenge, is a promising area for partnership
between SEE Governments and the international community. The EU
has been active in this field, as have several bilateral
organizations and the proposed regional equity fund would also
provide such support as noted above. Another example is the EU
Phare program, which provides technical assistance to chambers
of commerce and other business associations in transition
economies. A different example is the German Business
Cooperation Program which aims at the development of
company-to-company linkages between German and foreign SMEs. The
EBRD TAM program’s activities are a successful example of how
managerial assistance can help steer SMEs through the challenges
of adjustment. The recently created Balkan Enterprise Facility,
supported by the IFC and the donor agencies of Austria, Canada,
Germany, Greece, Netherlands, Norway, Slovenia, Sweden and
Switzerland, plans to contribute to building managerial and
technical skills and facilitating access to knowledge and
information for SMEs. These examples must be built upon.
Capacity Building for SME Support and
the Need for Grant Financing
4.21 An active policy for the development of SMEs—beyond
improving the investment framework—requires significant
investments in capacity building, especially in private
institutions. Financial intermediaries and support networks
require specific technical assistance to develop SME-specific
skills; and micro-banks consume approximately US$1.5-2.5 million
for the first two to three years before commercial viability is
established. Corresponding needs for grant financing will thus
be large; and while the EU, US and other bilateral donors have
already made available significant technical assistance and
cofinancing, further funding may become necessary. Flexible
funding and disbursing conditions will greatly facilitate the
administration of grants and reduce the organizational cost of
TA utilization. Efforts on the part of the international
community to simplify and harmonize their procedures for grant
financing of technical assistance could thus greatly increase
its speed and effectiveness. These results can also be obtained
through initiatives to pool donors funding for technical
assistance—as for example the Balkan Enterprise Facility
mentioned above.
D. The Role of Privatization and Private Participation in
Infrastructure
4.22 As discussed earlier in this report, privatization has advanced
significantly in South Eastern Europe, especially with regard to
small-scale enterprises. The privatization of large- and medium-size
enterprises has recorded less progress, and has generally benefited
insiders; both results stem from the persistence of soft budget
constraints and the reluctance of some countries to privatize
"strategic" sectors—including public utilities,
infrastructure and enterprises where large redundancies are expected.
Overall progress—together with the growth of private enterprises—has
resulted in the public sector accounting now for less than 50 percent
of GDP in all countries except Bosnia and Herzegovina (where it still
accounts for about 65 percent of GDP).
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4.1: EBRD Support for
Private Infrastructure
Municipal utilities.
Private sector projects in this sector are slow in coming and
limited in number compared to investment needs and to the large
potential for efficiency gains. While there is a gradually
growing interest in private sector participation in one form or
another, major obstacles remain. In the region, EBRD is working
with eight municipalities on the development of projects which
involve the private sector in the financing and provision of
municipal infrastructure and services, and with a number of
municipalities on municipal investment financing without state
or commercial bank guarantee. These private projects concern the
privatization of the water and sewerage companies in Sofia,
Rijeka, Timisoara, Pitesti, Brasov and Burgas, and water sector
BOT projects in Zagreb, Bucharest and Constanta. These projects
are scheduled for financial closing in or around 2000. They all
involve reputable international operators of water and
wastewater services. In addition, the EBRD is maintaining an
active dialogue on investment financing to municipalities
without state or commercial bank guarantees with Dubrovnik,
Constanta, Brasov and Pazardzik. Corporatization and
commercialization of publicly-owned municipal utilities often
lays the groundwork for private sector involvement at a later
stage. There are further opportunities in working with
municipalities directly, through sovereign structures, where the
regulatory and legal framework governing central-local fiscal
relations and the provision of municipal infrastructure does not
allow non-sovereign or private financing. Especially in
countries such as FYR Macedonia, where the EBRD is working with
five selected municipalities, this approach remains important
and provides the sole entry into this sector.
Telecommunications. As part of the
division of labor between IFIs in Bosnia and Herzegovina, the
EBRD has taken special responsibility for the telecoms sector.
Privatization of all three operators is planned. A similar
division of labor may emerge in Kosovo, where the Bank currently
conducts a damage assessment. In Albania and FYR Macedonia, the
EBRD is considering participation in private GSM ventures.
Privatization of incumbent operators with EBRD equity support is
also under way in FYR Macedonia and, potentially, in Croatia.
Power. The "unbundling" of
power generation, transmission and local distribution, based on
appropriate legal and regulatory frameworks, as well as more
ambitious models of private sector involvement in power projects
are gaining acceptance in South Eastern Europe. In Romania and
Bulgaria independent power projects are under consideration. In
FYR Macedonia consideration is being given to financing a
co-generation plant for the city of Skopje on a private sector
basis.
Transport. Private involvement in the
transport sector remains a difficult proposition in the region
and the EBRD must continue to consider sovereign structures.
Nevertheless, the EBRD has implemented one private sector
project in the region (grain terminal in Romania) and is
considering others: a toll road in Croatia, railway wagon
refurbishment/leasing and port commercialization in Romania,
and, in the longer run, possibly port and inland terminals and
train operations in Bulgaria.
Source: EBRD, Promoting
Private Sector Led Growth and Integration in South Eastern
Europe, an EBRD Perspective, September 1999.
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4.23 Public utilities and infrastructure—especially
telecoms and power—are, however, sectors where rapid progress
towards commercialization first and eventually privatization could
yield very significant benefits. Financing needs for rehabilitation
and modernization are in fact very large, and unlikely to be fully met
by the public sector; in addition, sustained improvements in
efficiency in these sectors—as needed to lower costs for consumers
as well as businesses—require also the introduction of competition
or at least contestability. International experience strongly
indicates that—both to attract private participation and to
translate it into benefits for consumers and producers—a sound
regulatory framework, providing predictable treatment of investors and
adequate contestability—is necessary. The international community
can assist—and is already in the process of assisting—the
countries of South Eastern Europe in the establishment of the
appropriate regulatory framework, and additional assistance in this
area should be given high priority.
E. Conclusion
4.24 The establishment and consolidation of
macroeconomic stability, the implementation of trade liberalization,
and improved access to EU and regional markets will offer new
opportunities for higher growth and employment. Seizing these
opportunities will require a dynamic private sector, willing to take
the risk of investing and producing in SEE countries, and the
mobilization of significant foreign investment.
4.25 The initiatives outlined in this Chapter are aimed at
accelerating the development of a dynamic private sector in the SEE
countries through the establishment of an efficient and
non-discriminatory investment framework, active policies to promote
SMEs, and an intensification of efforts to privatize remaining public
enterprises and to develop private sector participation in the
provision and financing of infrastructure. The role of the
international community is to support these reforms and magnify their
impact through regional initiatives. Several initiatives are already
under implementation, but their continuation and intensification
remain a priority, and will require increased financial resources as
well as improved mechanisms for delivery of technical assistance and
its financing.
37 This
Chapter draws extensively from documents prepared by the EBRD and
OECD, as well as from work undertaken by the IFC.
38 EBRD,
Promoting Private Sector Led Growth and Integration in South
Eastern Europe, An EBRD Perspective, September 1999 and
subsequent implementation papers.
39 Johnson/McMillan/Woodruff
(1998).
40 E.g.,
a survey of SMEs in Albania conducted by the EBRD in mid-1999, and
evidence relating to Bosnia and Herzegovina (work by USAID and the
EU Representative Office).
41 EBRD,
Promoting Private Sector Led Growth and Integration in South
Eastern Europe, an EBRD Perspective, September 1999 and
subsequent implementation papers.
42 The
main focus should be on debt instruments, since this is the area
in which the broadest immediate benefits can be obtained. However,
a comprehensive approach should also cover equity instruments,
which, while reaching fewer companies by number than many debt
facilities, are usually associated with the provision of a highly
intensive and hands-on form of support.
Table
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Inclusion and Social Change-Conditions for Peace and Prosperity in
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