KOSOVO, FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF YUGOSLAVIA (Serbia and Montenegro)(Kosovo)
Economic and Social Reforms for
Peace and Reconciliation
Prepared by the World Bank
February 1,
2001
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Education
VOLUME 2
CHAPTER 4:
Stimulating Private Enterprise Development
A.
Background
Kosovo benefits from a rich natural resource base
and fertile agricultural land. For the last 20 years, economic
activity centered on extractive industries, production of raw
materials, and semi-finished products (lead, coal, zinc and
textiles), as well as agriculture. The economic policy and
regulatory environment was shaped by Yugoslav-style socialism. Heavy
industry was largely publicly owned.1 In contrast, agriculture was
almost totally privately held. Significantly, more than 60 percent
of the pre-conflict population lived in rural areas.
Kosovo’s economy consists of three basic
components: publicly owned enterprises; privately owned enterprises,
and the parallel segment. Publicly owned enterprises formerly
engaged in all sectors of the economy but predominately in the
industrial sector, and generally in poor condition. The population
of privately owned enterprises - much larger in number and
collective output - engaged mostly in trade and services. The
substantial parallel segment consists of gray market activities in
trade and services on a small to medium scale. Nevertheless, it
should be noted that the dividing line between the formal and
informal sector is an obscure one, given the absence of a legal and
regulatory framework, the incompleteness of registration of
companies, and the strong incentives over the pre-conflict decade on
the part of ethnic Albanians to divorce their activities from the
formal sector. All sectors exist today in institutionally and
economically unfriendly conditions: no industrial production, no
banking system, and no regulatory framework.
The sharp decline in the Kosovo GDP over the past
decade can be attributed to a dramatic falloff in industrial output
in a sector comprised almost entirely of publicly owned enterprises.
Virtually all enterprises suffered heavy damage during this decade
of disinvestment and neglect," leaving many in a severely
deteriorated physical condition. Most enterprises now need
significant restart capital to resume even minimal production.
Enterprises also suffer from the far more serious problem of having
lost their markets. This is because the rest of the Balkan region
moved on economically after 1989, with FRY no longer a viable market
for most products previously manufactured in Kosovo. As a result of
the exclusion of the ethnic Albanians from management and skilled
worker positions, the skills of the ethnic Albanian workforce are
out of date.
Throughout the decade, the private sector was the
major pillar of the formal economy. This was unusual relative to
other non-Balkan, Eastern European countries, but resembled the
contribution of the private sector in the rest of the SFRY – a
legacy of the Markovic era. In fact, the output levels of the
privately owned sector have remained more or less stable since 1987.
As of 1996, privately owned enterprises contributed 47 percent
of the total GDP, and in 1998, the contribution of the private
sector to the overall economy rose to 80 percent. In the meantime,
the publicly owned sector became stagnant just before the conflict.
As the formal economy collapsed, ethnic Albanians
were dismissed from their positions at public companies. While the
official unemployment rate over the decade was significant - some
pre-war estimates running as high as 70 percent - this was
ameliorated by ethnic Albanians participation in the gray (legal)
and black (illegal) economy. The program imposed by Belgrade created
a new segment of the economy, namely, ethnic Albanians, who lost
their jobs and were forced underground by the subsequent legal
regime.
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No industrial production. Kosovo’s
emerging private sector does not include any significant ongoing
industrial production or processing activities. Under the SFRY’s
policy and regulatory regime, production primarily was limited to
extracting resources. Most processing was conducted in other SRFY
regions. The publicly owned industry that existed before the bombing
was subject to the "enforced measures." The few private
productive enterprises that survived the war suffer from many of the
same problems resulting from loss of markets and inadequate
financial resources. The investment needs required to (re-)start
most productive enterprises appear prohibitive.
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No banking system. The Micro Enterprise
Bank Kosovo (MEB Kosovo) is the only bank now operating in Kosovo -
although five other banks have received preliminary licensing
approval. There is no formal payment system outside of the limited
services offered by MEB Kosovo. Lack of payment and banking services
combine to restrict private sector activity to areas requiring
relatively modest up-front investment. In addition, businesses do
not benefit from more advanced cash management or the use of
alternative payment methods, such as checks or credit/debit cards.
This is almost exclusively a cash economy, with all the inherent
limitations and dangers. The near-total absence of financial
intermediation is a severely constraining factor to private sector
growth.
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No regulatory framework. In
theory, the FRY’s legal and regulatory regime applies today to
publicly- and privately owned enterprises as well as to the parallel
economic segment. With the repeal of Regulation 1, Section 3, and
the adoption of Regulation 24, UNMIK has adopted the SFRY commercial
legal framework of March 22, 1989, modified and expanded by other
UNMIK regulations. In practice few if any of these laws are
enforceable, nor are they suited to the type of market-oriented
economy UNMIK wants to establish.
With the exception of the new customs, sales, and
excise tax regime, introduced by UNMIK September 3, 1999, 2 plus the
Banking Law (Regulation 1999/21), there are currently no other
elements of a regulatory framework or for the registration of
private businesses. The benefits of this extremely liberal regime
are clearly reflected in the robustness of private sector activity.
Unfortunately, this is accompanied by troubling reports about the
increase in organized crime. In the Bank’s view, the rapid
introduction of an appropriately liberal system of business
registration and regulation would constitute an important part of a
strategy to stem this trend, and move the emerging private sector
into the formal economy. While progress has been made in recent
months towards the preparation of an adequate legal framework for
the private sector, UNMIK should concentrate its efforts in the
completion and final approval of a basic package of commercial law
dealing with business registration, contracts and enterprise law,
competition and foreign investment, and setting laws and mechanisms
for settling all kinds of disputes. The Public Enterprise Sector
Ownership. There are reportedly 437 publicly
owned enterprises in Kosovo, out of which some 140 medium-sized, and
66 large. These include both industrial enterprises (including
agro-industry) and public utilities. Although virtually all these
enterprises were under "social ownership" prior to 1989 -
the effective date adopted by regulation 24 - there were many
changes in the intervening decade that have caused conflicting
ownership claims - in addition to the customary claim that social
ownership is equivalent to employee ownership. In many cases,
enforced measures resulted in Serbian claims to ownership in the
form of shareholding or through complete integration of the Kosovar
enterprise into a Serbian one (as was the case for Yugobanka). In
other cases, the situation is further complicated by commercial
contracts or concession arrangements with foreign companies.
Generally speaking, the larger the enterprise the higher the degree
of complexity in determining ownership. Medium sized companies, such
as brick factories and slaughterhouses, are essentially local
ventures, while the huge Trepca mining complex presents much more
difficult ownership issues. The introduction of Regulation 24 may
simplify the situation, as any ownership changes since 1989 would
appear to be valid only if they were done pursuant to
non-discriminatory laws. There is a sentiment among Kosovar
Albanians that all such transactions, in fact, were done under
discriminatory laws, or laws applied in a discriminatory manner.
Political Perceptions. The situation
described above creates a huge political problem for ethnic
Albanians and for UNMIK. Enterprise workers, having been dismissed
from their jobs in the early 1990s and forced to take find
employment in the parallel system, have returned to enterprises
destroyed by years of neglect, war damage, asset stripping, and
vandalism. The immediate psychological reaction to this
"discovery" is a strong desire to bring the enterprises
back to their state during the "golden age" before 1989.
In discussions with Kosovars on these issues, there is a very strong
sense of entitlement to compensation, and an almost complete denial
that many of these enterprises would not have been viable - even if
they were in the best possible physical condition. Dialogue with
community leaders and specialists on enterprise issues among the
local populace should be encouraged, as well as through public
education campaigns. Unfortunately, the scope was limited for this
type of dialogue between UNMIK and local counterparts during the
winter of 1999/2000. Extensive and fundamental discussion about
structural reform and enterprise privatization remains an urgent
priority.
Social Problems. The social problems
associated with the restart of these enterprises are somewhat less
severe than in most transition economies. Although many workers have
not been employed in these enterprises for 10 years, they managed to
survive in the private sector or parallel economy, and through
remittances from family members abroad. It would therefore be false
to assume that significant social problems will arise if enterprises
were not to start up soon. This distinction from the experience in
other Balkan countries is important: a careful public education
campaign aimed at modifying unrealistic expectations should lead to
fewer problems associated with vested interests in dealing with
enterprise issues. There is a high premium on honesty in the debate
about the viability of these enterprises, as it is important that
the Kosovars accept that many of enterprises face overwhelming
obstacles in ever operating on a sustainable basis again. Non-viable
enterprises will need to be liquidated or abandoned, even though
this will create the difficult political problem that some former
employees of socially owned enterprises may become re-employed while
other will not. The local community will need to acknowledge that
even for those enterprises that are potentially viable, a condition
for their being so may be that only a small percentage of the
previous workforce will be re-employed.
Larger Enterprises--Limited Potential for
Contribution. The large enterprises need investment, competent
modern management, and access to new markets to be viable again.
This can be achieved only by attracting foreign capital for
enterprises that depend on exports markets and need sophisticated
and expensive capital goods. The lack of clarity in Kosovo’s legal
framework and the issues related to ownership will make it nearly
impossible to achieve this quickly. This means that few large public
enterprises in Kosovo will contribute to economic growth in the
short term.
Smaller Public Enterprises: Good Opportunities
for the Domestic Market. There is strong potential for growth in
provision of services (especially to the very large international
community present in Kosovo), as well as in agriculture and
agroprocessing and construction. While the service and construction
sectors are already overwhelmingly private, this is not the case for
agroprocessing and the production of construction materials. Most
enterprises in these two sub-sectors appear only slightly better off
than the large enterprises, but their services appear to be much in
demand. They generally are technologically simple operations of
relatively modest size, and are likely to be easy to re-start
drawing on domestic resources. These types of enterprises appear to
be essentially local operations, with a much smaller degree of
complexity in their ownership structure.
Privately-Owned Enterprises
Promise of Retail and Service Sector. The
rapid return of refugees in June and July of 1999 was immediately
followed by a remarkable level of activity in the private sector.
New shops, restaurants, and small trading "companies"
began operating literally within days of the arrival of KFOR and the
rest of the large international community in Kosovo. Very quickly,
these operations became more sophisticated, as goods began to flow
into Kosovo and owners responded to a rapidly increasing demand for
services. In early September, most major towns had a strong retail
and services sector offering a remarkably diverse supply of goods
and services. Even during the difficult winter months, this sector
continued to expand.
Given the nature of the parallel market, its
current size and characteristics are difficult to ascertain. But the
parallel economy could give a tremendous boost to the official
economy if it sheds its gray status - with the growth push likely
occurring in the trade and services sectors. This will not occur
without the effort by UNMIK to develop policies designed to
encourage this sector and provide incentives for it to move into the
official economy.
B. Facilitating Private
Sector Development
Opportunities for short-term growth. The
success of the program of economic development and reconstruction of
Kosovo hinges to a large extent on the degree to which the private
sector can be empowered quickly to generate growth. While the
difficult political and legal issues in Kosovo are being addressed,
the existing private sector will need to provide stimulus for
economic growth. In addition to the rapidly growing retail and
services areas, short-term growth can be expected to come largely
from agriculture, agro-processing, construction, and the production
of construction materials. Primary agriculture and construction,
which are mostly private, should be encouraged to follow the lead of
the impressive development of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)
in the retail and services sector.
To develop the private sector, Kosovo will need
to pursue three strategic paths concurrently. First, promote
the growth and development of privately owned enterprises already in
the formal economy. Second, embrace the parallel economy and
bring it into the formal economy through a combination of incentives
and requirements. And third, expand the private sector’s
composition by transferring the potentially viable public
enterprises to private ownership or divest productive assets from
public enterprises to private hands.
Legal and Regulatory Framework. To support
private sector development, UNMIK must assign top priority to the
introduction of a regulatory environment that makes the cost of
operating illegally significantly greater than operating legally. In
addition, the legal framework needs to provide and promote the
availability of credit by protecting private property rights and
permitting collateral to secure loans. Further, the framework needs
to be flexible enough to promote financing mechanisms for private
productive activity, such as venture capital.
The current regulatory framework in Kosovo is
ambiguous and incomplete. On the one hand, UNMIK has issued few
regulations in this area; on the other, UNMIK Regulation 24/99
states that, unless otherwise provided by UNMIK, pre-1989 laws are
still in effect. This creates a situation of considerable ambiguity,
in which there is only one logical response for the emerging private
sector: remain underground. This creates a breeding ground
for organized crime. UNMIK will need to establish a minimal
structure to deal with the limited number of potentially viable
enterprises quickly, and which least involves the privatization
institution in protracted administration.
The regulatory framework should be: (i) simple,
understandable, and enforceable; (ii) facilitate compliance; (iii)
allow as little discretionary authority as possible to minimize
scope for corruption; (iv) eliminate any duplication of existing FRY
regulations; and (v) remove all discriminatory aspects of the
existing FRY system.
The framework also should include the following
elements:
- An effective and simple business registration system;
- An enterprise regulation;
- An appropriate property rights legal framework, including
collateral and bankruptcy legislation;
- Basic business law and contractual rights legal framework
supportive of private business formation and operation;
- A practical legal mechanism for resolving property disputes;
- A competition law framework that severely limits the scope for
public intervention in industries that are not natural
monopolies;
- A law for the privatization of socially- and state-owned
property;
- A law covering concessions of state owned real property and
natural resources;
- A law on labor relations and workplace rights and obligations;
- A foreign investment law which enshrines the basic principles
of any sound foreign investment climate: protection of investors’
rights, non-discriminatory treatment for foreigners and locals,
and access to fair arbitration; and
- A comprehensive accounting legal and regulatory framework that
promotes the application of International Accounting Standards
for financial and tax accounting purposes.
It will take time to complete this framework and
even longer to create the institutional capacity to implement it.
Thus, it will be crucial to set priorities according to a critical
path analysis that focuses on removing the biggest obstacles first.
Drafts of an enterprise regulation, bankruptcy regulation, contract
regulation, foreign investment regulation, pledges and a concession
regulation have been completed and await confirmation. A regulation
on ownership of non-residential ownership has also been drafted, yet
it is still subject to the completion of a better defined and
comprehensive enterprise development strategy.3 The other essential
basic regulations are also being drafted.
Trade Regime Linkages.
Careful attention
should be given to the cumulative effect of the various fees and
taxes on private business as the recently introduced trade and
taxation regime is refined. Currently, customs fees, sales, and
excise taxes are being charged at only about half the border
checkpoints of Kosovo. As taxation inside Kosovo is introduced,
careful attention should be given to the overall tax burden on
enterprises, especially given the high sales taxes levied at the
border. In addition, the trade regime will need to be refined with
respect to taxes that could constrain private sector growth in
Kosovo. For example, a rebate system needs to be introduced in the
medium term to stimulate processing, subcontracting and consignment
arrangements, which will be important to allow Kosovo to exploit its
abundance of labor. Also, it is clearly not in the interest of
Kosovo’s economic development to tax imported capital goods - even
in the short term.
Credit for Private Enterprises. The lack of
short and long term credit for viable productive activity has been
identified in a recent survey of Kosovo SMEs as a major constraint
to growth. Lack of credit limits the private sector to activities
that require minimal investment - mainly in the services and retail
sectors. Establishing a credit program based on sound economic and
financial principles will be critical. Currently, a number of donors
are trying to support the private sector by providing grants to
small businesses but without any form of financial intermediation.
Anecdotal evidence suggests that these grant programs are not being
coordinated, leading to the same enterprises receiving support from
different donors. UNMIK should tackle this problem by setting up a
donor coordination forum for enterprise support.
SME Credit Program. UNMIK has agreed
with the Bank and other donors that the following basic principles
would be followed for an SME Credit Program for Kosovo:4
- SME lending activities must be conducted within the
newly established banking supervisory regime;
- Credit should be extended through the Program for
private enterprises only, based on sound credit analysis;
- Credit should be extended to enterprises in the parallel
sector only after their conversion to the official economy (the
lack of a functioning enterprise law or registry means that
interim procedures will have to be adopted if the credit line if
to be disbursed expeditiously);
- Borrowing terms extended to enterprises should not distort
competition with commercial credit;
- The Program should be conducted so that it supports the medium-term
institution building needs for the banking sector;
- Donor financed SME credit should be viewed only as a
transitional measure until a healthy banking system is
developed;
- Donor coordination must be maximized and perhaps overseen by
UNMIK itself; and
- Similar principles should be applied to the extension of micro-
and agricultural credit.
In conclusion, it is worth reiterating that the
development and enforcement of a legal and regulatory environment of
the kind described above remains vital if private enterprise growth
is to be encouraged. This emphasis on establishing a conducive
business environment is of the first importance – far more germane
than plans to concession or privatize public enterprises. A number
of such enabling laws have been drafted (enterprise law, law on
secured transactions, bankruptcy laws) with regulations to support
the registration of companies, but none of these laws have yet been
issued in the form of regulations. Delays in promulgating these
regulations will be costly as opportunities will be lost for a rapid
stimulation of private sector led growth.
C. Converting Public
Enterprises to Private Ownership
Revitalizing the Socially Owned Enterprise Sector.
In planning for privatization, Kosovo’s socially-owned enterprises
can be organized into the following categories: (i) large
enterprises, such as the Trepca mining complex; (ii) utilities;
(iii) enterprises of potential interest to foreign investors;
(iv) other viable and potentially viable enterprises; and (v)
non-viable enterprises. Following a decade of neglect and enforced
measures, many enterprises may not be viable, and thus will need to
be liquidated.
Appropriate privatization methods may include: (i)
asset sales/liquidation of the non-viable enterprises; (ii) public
auctions or tenders for assets or shares for the majority of viable
enterprises; and (iii) concessions or management contracts for
special cases, such as Trepca. Asset sales would be the simplest to
organize and the most attractive for potential investors.
Progress on privatization requires resolution of
several key issues, including ownership of social property,
treatment of workers, and treatment of claims. These issues can be
resolved quickly but will require detailed procedures for enterprise
preparation and privatization transactions, in addition to public
support. As noted, earlier this year UNMIK prepared a policy paper
and conducted an extensive policy dialogue with local as well
foreign parties on this set of issues; this section contains a
summary of the main UNMIK proposals and an assessment of them.
Ownership of social property.
Regulation
1999/24 defines the applicable laws as those in force as of March
22, 1989 - except when superseded by UNMIK regulations. It is
generally considered that little or no privatization under the 1988
"Markovic" law had occurred by March 22, 1989. Although
the majority of enterprises subsequently affected by "enforced
measures" were wholly socially owned by March 22, 1989, there
currently is no mechanism to establish this as a basis for further
action. Recent policy statements by UNMIK propose the establishment
of an adjudication panel to rule on the structure of ownership in
each enterprise. In the absence of an expropriation mechanism, or
the existence of provable claims that could support bankruptcy
proceedings, UNMIK cannot otherwise take control of these
enterprises unless and until it is determined that an enterprise is
majority socially owned. As expropriation is unlikely to be
politically acceptable, and there are few records or any bankruptcy
structure or institutions, an independent board will need to be
established to rule on ownership issues as soon as possible.
Otherwise, the process of privatization and revitalization of any of
the socially owned enterprises cannot proceed as planned.
It seems appropriate to equate social ownership
with state ownership and for the privatization of such property to
be administered by UNMIK. In the SFRY, social ownership conferred
wide powers on workers to elect their management and otherwise
determine how an enterprise would conduct its business; however,
workers did not have a share in the capital of the enterprise.
Moreover, in the former SFRY republics that recognized social
ownership, the transformation of social capital was organized by the
state, with the state receiving proceeds from the sale of
transformed social capital.
In the interests of speed and efficiency, it is
vital to limit restructuring of enterprises to the minimum
necessary. It will be important that the only restructuring that
takes place before privatization should be the separation of social
assets (apartments) and public assets (power plants and irrigation
systems) from the economic assets of an enterprise. Allocation of
assets and (particularly) workers and liabilities will be difficult
and contentious, and inevitably accusations of prejudice and
favoritism may arise, especially when some of the new units have to
be liquidated. Experience in other countries suggests that the
private sector is better able to restructure a business to achieve
profitability than is the government. In this sense, the transfer of
potentially viable businesses to the private sector will be a more
important objective for UNMIK than receiving the maximum price for
the assets or net assets.
Institutional Framework for Adjudicating
Ownership. As it has been proposed by UNMIK, Launching this
process will require setting up a new institution, the Ownership
Adjudication Commission (OAC), and the clarification of the effects
of the applicable law for the purposes of the ownership adjudication
process. The relevant legislation is proposed to be passed soon with
the by the end of May, with the OAC established in the summer. The
proposed features of each are given below.
The OAC would be empowered to adjudicate
ownership of non-residential assets. Any interested party, including
UNMIK itself, could request adjudication. In many cases UNMIK
intends to initiate adjudication to establish unambiguously that
certain businesses are publicly owned. UNMIK would then decide
whether to privatize it or to retain it temporarily as part of the
public sector and establish firmer control over its management.
However, there are few economic grounds to justify UNMIK becoming
involved in the rejuvenation of socially owned enterprises prior to
their transfer to the public sector; it has neither the specific
mandate, nor the necessary skills. Nor would it seem to be required.
The OAC will exist outside the local court
system. The issues involved in the adjudication are complex and may
involve determining whether the law in force between 1989 and 1999
was discriminatory or applied in a discriminatory manner. A
significant number of enterprises are publicly or socially-owned.
Since UNMIK has assumed responsibility for administration of public
property, it will be directly involved in such adjudication.
Moreover, the FRY may have claims to such public property. Progress
is being made to re-establish the courts and to build a judiciary
capable of dealing with civil and commercial claims but there is
still a long way to go. To ensure that ownership questions which
need to be resolved urgently are dealt with rapidly and fairly,
creation of an ad hoc independent body appears to be the best
solution. It is vital that the OAC be set up as a small, technical,
efficient body with rules of proceedings that ensure rapid
adjudication results.
It is also proposed that once ownership is
established, those businesses of which the majority of the stock is
publicly owned will be brought under the control of a new Kosovo
Enterprise Agency (KEA). The mandate of the KEA would be to
corporate the businesses and pay out any compensation according to
the findings of the OAC, to take interim control of the enterprises
until privatization, and to organize the privatization process, when
that becomes appropriate. The KEA will be part of UNMIK, but it will
report to an independent Steering Board representing all sections of
Kosovar society.
The proposal to establish the KEA with the
functions described above flies in the face of experience with
enterprise revival and privatization in transition economies. It is
not advisable to have a government body being responsible for the
control and operation of enterprises, even less to have such a body
reporting to all sections of society, thereby permitting a conduit
for pressures from workers, directors and others to press on with
their vested interests. Inaction, deadlock and the preservation of
enterprises is likely to result. It appears more efficient to
appoint temporary management to such enterprises prior to their
eventual sale or liquidation. Indeed, the privatization mandate
should have clear and enforceable deadlines for preparation for sale
and execution of the sale, with liquidation following on
automatically should the enterprise prove to be insolvent or
unsaleable.
A new Regulation would confirm the applicable law
as defined in Regulation 1999/24. It will make clear that if an
ownership interest is declared invalid as a result of the
adjudication, the owner shall be the next preceding owner who can
establish ownership of the property in 1989. The adjudicating body
will be required to substantiate its determinations with detailed
findings of fact and conclusions of law. Any relevant precedents
would be applied. Efforts would be made to contact owners whose
rights are declared invalid so they can be present for the
determination of compensation to be paid. In addition, the
regulation will include mechanisms for payment of compensation.
Rules would be established on how payments should be made; if
payments are not made as agreed, ownership determinations could be
revoked. Also sale, lease or assignment of property can be done
subject to compensation rights once ownership has been established.
Treatment of workers.
Notwithstanding the
general right of the state to transform and dispose of social
property, workers typically believe they have an inherent
"interest" in their enterprises. Other ex-SFRY republics
have allowed workers to purchase some portion of shares in
enterprises on preferential terms. Recent policy discussions have
contemplated that some 10 percent of the capital of large
enterprises, and 20 percent of small and medium sized be reserved
for purchase by the workers. Preferential share sales to workers,
however, should not be allowed to interfere with the ability of a
strategic investor or dedicated management group to control an
enterprise’s operations and carry out necessary restructuring.
Terms for preferential share sales should also be kept simple –
e.g., cash purchases rather than installment purchases. It will also
be necessary to define which workers (e.g., 1989 vs. 1999) are
eligible for preferential share purchases.
It is important that consultation with former
"workers" should be carefully thought through to ensure
that UNMIK does not inadvertently create unrealistic (non-economic)
expectations. Under the best of circumstances, it is unlikely that
more than half the number of former workers in socially owned
enterprises can be re-employed in those enterprises. A labor law
which clearly sets out, among other things, the status and rights
(if any) of "former workers" must be a high priority for
UNMIK in managing expectations as the transformation process moves
forward.
Purchasers also should be are free to hire the
number of employees they want, rather than having a potential
obligation to take on a historic number of employees which bears no
relationship to the current environment which the business faces.
Treatment of claims. Claims may include both
ownership interests - such as Markovic privatization transactions
during the period of enforced measures and concessions granted to
foreigners - as well as enterprise liabilities, such as credits from
Yugoslav banks. The Ownership Adjudication Commission proposed by
UNMIK is a practical, although potentially time consuming, method of
resolving ownership interest. However, the question of how minority
ownership interests will be recognized will remain. The choices are
to recognize a legitimate interest as ongoing minority ownership
interests in the newly privatized enterprise, or to compensate the
minority shareholders for, in essence, their expropriated interests.
Whichever method is chosen, compensation or restitution should be
done on the basis of current rather then historic value of the
assets or net assets, and that the process of establishing that
value be transparent. In practice, this means a simple, clear, and
open way of selling assets. Part of the proceeds should be reserved
to pay legitimate ownership and creditor claims.
The concept of interim administration by public
bodies or local municipalities in consultation with workers, should
emphatically not be pursued for several reasons. In fact, it should
be noted that many socially owned enterprises are not viable, or may
only be viable if historic levels of employment are dramatically
reduced. The involvement of local interests very likely will obscure
the focus on viability, and shift to an emphasis on re-employment.
Interim administration (other than through management contracts and
leases) of a loss-making activity where the administrator has no
resources to fund losses also poses many potential hazards for
UNMIK. For these reasons UNMIK should not consider funding losses
from the proceeds of privatization. The potential costs of such a
policy clearly far outweigh any possible benefits.
Enterprise preparation.
UNMIK should assert
its authority over potentially viable socially-owned enterprises by
confirming or replacing current enterprise directors; establishing
requirements and standards for regular financial reporting
(including development of a current balance sheet) and preparations
for privatization transactions; limiting the ability of enterprises
to dispose of assets outside the ordinary course of business; and
establishing director liability and penalties for non-compliance
with UNMIK regulations. As noted, the only restructuring that takes
place before privatization should be the separation of social assets
(apartments) and public assets (power plants and irrigation systems)
from the economic assets of an enterprise.
Viable enterprises should be privatized through
asset sales or – if there is a need to allow share sales to
workers – through share sales. In cases where there is both worker
interest and one or more potential investors concerned about unknown
liabilities, consideration should be given to conveying an
enterprise’s assets and known liabilities to a new company (NewCo)
and privatizing the NewCo through sales of existing shares to
workers and sale of new shares to a strategic investor/management
group in a recapitalization transaction.
Taking direct control of these enterprises before
privatization raises the risk that employment issues - rather than
viability issues - will constitute the focus of discussion with the
local community. Almost by definition, the socially owned
enterprises are loss making. These will have to be financed by
someone. If UNMIK directly controls them, the expectation could
easily arise that UNMIK would assume responsibility for payroll,
etc. This is not feasible; the risk and complications are even
bigger for smaller, community-based enterprises. The idea of
"interim administration" by local administrations, with
input from the workers, should be strongly discouraged. The risks to
UNMIK far outweigh the possible benefits. A preferable strategy
would be to sell the assets of such enterprises as soon as possible,
in order to curtail any debate on the desirability or purpose of
"interim administration" for minor enterprises.
An essential part of limiting the resources
needed to complete the transformation process would be an early and
concerted attempt to identify and liquidate non-viable enterprises.
This can be started during the public awareness campaign - even
while the transformation institutions are being set up. Non-viable
enterprises should be disposed of through asset sales. UNMIK’s
involvement after majority socially ownership has been established
should be limited to a rapid confirmation of the potential viability
or lack thereof, followed by placing the enterprise into liquidation
when required.
Privatization transactions.
There are a very
small number of socially owned enterprises in Kosovo, and the even
smaller number of those that are potentially viable. Preliminary
estimates suggest there may be fewer than 200 potentially viable
socially owned enterprises of all sizes. Simple processes which
focus on speed and transparency of the process, rather than revenue
generation, or even equity, should be the objective when considering
what institutional arrangements are necessary to get the potentially
productive assets back to work.
UNMIK will need to develop detailed regulations
on the conduct of public auctions of assets and share auctions or
tenders; for unique enterprises, like the Trepca mines, and perhaps
for utilities, concessions and management contracts should be used.
In general, privatization processes should be as open, transparent,
simple, and rapid as possible – e.g., auctions instead of tenders;
cash payment instead of installment payments; and outright sales
instead of concessions or management contracts. UNMIK also may need
to regulate protections and rights for employee shareholders,
including maintenance of share registries.
UNMIK’s overriding goal should be to revitalize
viable enterprises and re-deploy the assets of non-viable
enterprises through "clean" privatization transactions,
unencumbered by questionable ownership claims or liabilities. While
UNMIK needs to provide some satisfaction of legitimate
ownership/creditor claims, this goal is distinctly secondary to the
revitalization of viable enterprises. A tentative timetable would be
for UNMIK to target completion of enterprise privatization within
two years of setting up the necessary structure and institutions.
In contrast to what has recently been discussed,
, the assets should be sold for cash only. Potential purchasers
should not be required to submit an investment or development plan.
To attempt to evaluate promises will expose the privatization
authority to accusations of lack of transparency, as well as
requiring KEA to monitor the promised plan, and even attempt to
recover the assets if the promises are not fulfilled. Thus the
privatization authority should focus on procedures that allow it to
complete its mandate in the shortest possible time.
Development of public support.
While UNMIK is
developing the authority to manage and dispose of socially owned
enterprises, it nonetheless needs to elicit public support for a
sensible enterprise privatization program. It is important that
Kosovar opinion-makers, workers, and the public develop an
appreciation of the realistic prospects for socially owned
enterprises and the lessons which can be learned from the ex-SFRY
republics during their transformation experiences.
It is important that public discussion and a
public education program on enterprise privatization begin as soon
as possible after a privatization initiative has been authorized.
The public education program needs to cover both the rationale for
UNMIK’s privatization program, as well as detailed information to
enable potential investors and claimants to participate. Public
education efforts should convey the message that Kosovo’s economic
future lies not in re-creating the Kosovo of 1989, but in building a
new Kosovo based on current economic realities and opportunities.
The implications for workers expectations need to be taken into
account and explained. For example, the public awareness campaign
should also emphasize that the market will decide which enterprises
will be rejuvenated, once in the private sector, and that the new
owners will determine how many employees will be re-employed.
Suggested on Priorities for a PSD Strategy for Kosovo
|
UNMIK DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES |
|
Highest Priority: Target 1-3 months |
|
Promote growth of existing Private Sector |
Embrace the Parallel Economy |
Privatize potentially viable enterprises |
|
Put in place key Enabling Environment Laws
a) develop active input cooperation form local counterparts
at drafting stage
b) draft critical laws/ regulations
Enterprise law
Property Rights
Contracts law
Collateral law
Registry system for enterprises
Concessions law |
Strengthen customs regime |
Begin inventory of socially owned enterprises
Begin debate with local counterparts of design features of
a privatization law
(see separate paper for key design considerations). Key
issues include
what is being sold (assets or net assets)
a claims identification and adjudication mechanism
workers rights |
|
Establish financing facilities for SMEs
MEB and UNMIK’s ICU (already done)
Commercial small scale agricultural financing
Micro credit |
|
|
|
Technical Assistance (TA) for SMEs; business plans, loan applications
New lending institutions: governance, management, lending,
IT
Strengthen regulatory framework |
|
|
|
Coordination with donors re plans for grant and financing
facilities |
|
|
|
2nd Priority ; Target 4-6 months |
|
Promote Growth Of Existing Private Sector |
Embrace The Parallel Economy |
Privatize Potentially Viable Enterprises |
|
Put in place the next set of enabling environment laws
- Accounting law and regulatory framework for tax
accounting
- Establish commercial court structure
- Law on Bankruptcy
- Competition law
|
Draft key laws and regulations to encompass parallel
economy
- Vehicle registration (done)
- Vendor registration
- Taxing statutes
- Development of enforcement capacity
|
Resolve ownership issue/ Establish claim resolution
mechanism for socially owned and state owned enterprises
ost viable" enterprises/ identify least viable
enterprises
Draft a privatization law which encompasses agreements/
compromises reached in the consultation stage (above). TA
necessary
Begin liquidation of nonviable enterprises |
|
3rd priority; Target 6-12 months |
|
Enabling environment laws
|
|
Establish institutional framework for transformation. TA
necessary for setting up Privatization Agency
Conduct public awareness campaign for privatization
(possible TA contribution)
Begin to offer "most viable" enterprises for sale
(TA necessary)
Concession and management agreements for a few large
enterprises
|
|
4th Priority: Target : beyond 12
months |
|
Promote Growth Of Existing Private Sector |
Embrace The Parallel Economy |
Privatize Potentially Viable Enterprises |
| |
|
Identify viable large enterprises; offer potentially viable
enterprises on a tender basis, case by case
(TA necessary) |
1 Unless
otherwise indicated, the terms "public enterprise" and
"publicly-owned" are used throughout this report to mean
socially-owned enterprises as well as other forms of state
ownership, such as enterprises wholly-owned by the state and joint
stock companies majority owned by public shareholders.
2 UNMIK
Regulation No. 1999/3 and Administrative Directive No. 1999/01.
3 In recent
months UNMIK Pillar 4 drafted a White Paper entitled
"Enterprise Development Strategy" (May 24, 2000) that
addressed issues of property rights, developing the private sector
legal framework, privatizing enterprises and building a social
consensus. While this paper was not formally adopted as UNMIK
policy, it was used as a preliminary framework of discussion on
these issues.
4 The World
Bank and the European Agency for Reconstruction have developed a
credit line scheme along these principles. Four bilateral donors
have expressed an interest in cofinancing this line of credit.
|