Since its establishment eighteen months ago,
UNMIK adopted as its priority objectives the creation of a budget
that would support a sustainable level of essential public services,
the establishment of economic policies that would lay the
foundations of a private market led economy, and the development of
a social safety net for the needy. In all these spheres, UNMIK has a
substantial body of achievements to its credit. My colleague from
the IMF has already spoken of fiscal policy; I would only note that,
thanks to the careful stewardship of the Central Fiscal Agency,
local financing of budget expenditures has risen impressively over
this 18-month period from one-third in the final four months of 1999
to one-half in 2000 and is projected at two-thirds in 2001. Donor
contributions to the budget in 2001 will be important but they will
represent a fall in absolute amounts in relation to 2000 and a sharp
fall in relation to overall expenditures.
The Central Fiscal Agency is also an instrument
that provides assurance for the prudent and transparent use of
funds. Further institutional work is currently under way: the
establishment of internal audit capability, moves towards a full
integration of the current and capital budgets, and strengthening of
sector policy analysis capability In 2001, the donors will look to
UNMIK to carry out the reduction in the bloated workforce in the
education and health sectors and in the electricity company as well
as raise significantly cost recovery in utility payments. The
introduction of a modified VAT system, of a wage tax and a
sustainable scheme for social assistance payments are also important
policy commitments for 2001.
Two other areas of major progress in economic
policies are reforms in the trade regime and the establishment of a
framework for private sector development. Kosovo today enjoys a
liberal trade regime that is also one of administrative simplicity.
Imports financed by donors and by the diaspora have fuelled the
recovery seen since the end of the conflict. Kosovo's nascent
exports would be assisted by the fostering of liberal trade
arrangements in the Balkans area and with the EU as well as by
recognition of its certificates of origin for its goods. Steps in
these directions are being taken or are planned; both donor
countries and neighbouring countries can do much to assist Kosovo's
exports. UNMIK's intention to abolish the external tariff (upon the
introduction of the VAT expected to take place in mid-2001), with a
revenue-neutral change in the VAT rate, will help to create a
neutral trade and fiscal regime and remove some large loopholes in
revenue collection.
The recent passage of laws on enterprises,
contracts, pledges and foreign investment provided the essential
basis for encouraging the formation and growth of private
enterprises. At the same time, UNMIK has taken steps to award
concessions in certain public enterprises and to develop a framework
for increased private participation in viable enterprises and
liquidation of bankrupt ones. Impressive progress has been made in
registering enterprises under the new legal regime. It will now be
important to focus on the implementation of these laws and on
developing an effective, fair regulatory regime as well as on
devising the next generation of legislative changes, such as on
competition and bankruptcy laws. The functioning of an efficient
financial intermediation system still appears some way off, though
the supervision framework and the banking law (enforced by the
UNMIK-created Banking and Payments Agency) are in place, and one
internationally-backed bank has completed nearly a year of
operations. This Agency will also face the task of making available
euro banknotes and coins in a year's time
The agenda for the year ahead will include the
reforms mentioned earlier, but they will be dominated by three
policy measures of considerable importance. First, the transparent
and efficient working of the newly-elected municipalities place
several demands on UNMIK: certification of the municipalities as to
their administrative and financial capacity; a clarification of the
revenue-raising powers as well as the expenditure responsibilities
of the municipalities and the relation to the Kosovo level; and
policies to deal with the wide disparities in municipal income
levels.
Second, UNMIK intends to adopt a strategy to
fight or to prevent corruption, by embedding within public
administrative structures appropriate safeguards, by creating
simple, fair, transparent laws and regulations on commercial
activity, by creating a permanent capacity in civil society to
monitor public sector performance and to set up partnerships to
these ends If successful, such a strategy will distinguish Kosovo
from its neighbours and provide further assurances to donors on the
probity of use of public funds.
Third, the termination of the emergency phase of
humanitarian assistance to Kosovo and the existing level of poverty
and social need now require the formulation of a sustainable social
protection net. UNMIK has begun work to define assistance policies
and target them and to build up institutional capabilities. The
challenges lie in fitting the needs of single-headed families and
children to resources, to introduce a pension system and to cater to
war invalids and veterans.
Over the past eighteen months, the participation
of Kosovars in economic policy discussion and implementation has
grown rapidly. The policy agenda has to be owned by the local
population; in 2001, the Kosovarisation trend will surely
accelerate. The budget will remain the key instrument for making
these reforms effective as has been the record in 1999-2000, and we
remain confident that the budget will continue to be executed with
the high degree of responsibility that we have seen thus far. We
would, therefore, urge donors to give the Kosovo budget the support
that it deserves. The World Bank will provide US$10 million to the
budget in 2001, of which sum half was disbursed earlier this mouth.