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Albania
Interim Poverty Reduction
Strategy Paper
May 3, 2000
The
entire document is also available in PDF format (31
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I. Introduction
II. Poverty Profile
III. Key Elements for a Poverty Reduction Strategy
A. Sustainable and Inclusive Economic Growth
B. Human Development
B.1 Health
B.2 Education
B.3 Child Poverty
B.4 Labor Market and Social Protection
C. Rural and Urban Development and Access To Basic Services
IV. Institutional Mechanisms for the PRSP
A. Institutional Arrangements
B. Measures to Strengthen Public Expenditure Management
V. Participatory Process and Timetable for the PRSP
VI. Monitoring Indicators
APPENDICES
Appendix A: Three-year Macroeconomic Framework
Appendix B: Matrix of Economic and Financial Policies
(pdf, 10KB)
Appendix C: Monitoring Indicators
(pdf, 10KB)
Table 1: Life expectancy and fertility indicators, 1990-1998
Table 2: Health indicators, 1990-1998
Table 3: Education indicators, 1990-1998
Appendix D: Participation Plan for the PRSP
Appendix E: Work Program for the Preparation of the PRSP
I. Introduction
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Over the last
three years, Albania has made substantial progress in achieving
macroeconomic and financial stability and has implemented many
structural and institutional reforms required to establish a
functioning market economy. In these endeavors the government
has been supported by the arrangements under the Enhanced
Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF) and the IDA Structural
Adjustment Credit (SAC). The results of these efforts have
helped the government to put the economy on a rapid path of
growth and to improve the well-being of the population.
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Despite this
progress, Albania continues to have one of the lowest levels of
per capita income in Europe. The government is aware of this
reality and is of the view that rapid growth is the main
instrument for reducing the development gap of the country
relative to the rest of the Europe, improve the standard of
living of the population, and reduce the poverty of those most
in need. To address these objectives in a comprehensive fashion,
the government is planning to prepare a Poverty Reduction
Strategy Paper (PRSP) by mid-2001 and launch a new national
poverty reduction plan. This policy is consistent with the
initiative under the Stability Pact and Albania’s aspirations
to become more integrated in Europe. To strengthen its
effectiveness, the strategy will be formulated through a broad
participatory and consultative process that will include, among
others, representatives of civil society, local communities, the
poor, and the donor community.
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To ensure that
the economy stays on a rapid growth path and to promote private
investment, the Albanian government has agreed with the Fund and
the Bank staff on a three-year macroeconomic framework and a set
of policy measures, which are described in the attachments to
this document. The Government also intends to request a new
three-year arrangement under the Poverty Reduction and Growth
Facility (PRGF) in 2001 following the termination of the current
three-year arrangement, and it will continue to cooperate with
the World Bank to deepen its reform program in the context of
structural adjustment and other operations.
II. Poverty Profile
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Poverty in
Albania is a multidimensional phenomenon. As indicated by
various studies, poverty defined in terms of low income and/or
consumption in Albania is relatively high, mainly due to limited
job opportunities and low incomes, particularly in agriculture.
But poverty in Albania not only manifests itself in low income
for part of the population, but also importantly in limited
access to and poor quality of basic services like education,
health, water, and sewerage. Large differences exist between
rural and urban areas. Furthermore, repeated shocks and crisis,
as well as large external and internal migration have
contributed to the weakening of social cohesion and traditional
family and community based safety nets, leading to increased
vulnerability and social exclusion of different groups of the
population.
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Albania ranks low
in comparison with other Southeastern and Central European
transition countries in terms of commonly used living standard
and human development indicators. Per capita GDP in Albania is
lower than the average for Southeastern European transition
countries, and significantly below the average for Central
European transition countries. UNDP's human development index
places Albania 100th (based on 1997 data) out of 174
countries ranked, significantly below the rankings for other
transition countries in Southeastern (55-73) and Central Europe
(33-47). UNICEF’s Report on the State of the World’s
Children for the year 2000 ranks Albania 90th out of
175 countries with respect to under-five mortality rate (based
on 1998 data).
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A study based on
the 1996 Living Standard Measurement Survey (LSMS) data,
conducted in the areas outside Tirana, suggests that poverty in
Albania is a rural phenomenon with almost 90 percent of the poor
residing in rural areas and 60 percent of the heads of poor
households being self-employed in agriculture. The incidence of
rural poverty was found to be five times higher than urban
poverty and is highest in the North of Albania, where a large
portion of families own less than 0.5 hectare of land each. Many
households in these regions require subsidized wheat and cash
transfers to survive the winter. Limited access to public
services, often aggravated by poor rural infrastructure,
especially roads, is a contributing factor to rural poverty.
According to 1998 data, 27 percent of farms do not sell products
to market and only 50 percent of farms use machinery.
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Children are
especially at risk of poverty according to the results of the
1996 LSMS data. The poverty rate for children under 6 was found
to be almost double that for adults 64 and over. Moreover, the
number of children is a strong poverty correlate –
approximately one third of the poor have 5 or more children and
the poverty incidence among families with five or more children
is 60 percent.
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Other results of
the LSMS study indicate that poor families tend to be young,
that poverty is strongly linked to education, while gender does
not appear to be a poverty correlate, and that remittances
constitute a major informal safety net. The poverty rate drops
as the age of a household head rises; poverty is almost 10
percent higher for households with heads 16 to 35 years of age
than for households with heads aged 64 and above. Households
headed by people who are illiterate or have basic education are
20-30 times more likely to be poor than households headed by
university graduates. Especially in rural areas, the poverty
rate is minimal where household heads have migrated and returned
home; the poverty rate is slightly higher where household heads
abroad are currently sending remittances.
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The social
stratification since the 1996 LSMS may have changed as a result
of the economic downfall caused by the pyramid scheme crisis,
and large-scale internal and external migration. There are
indications that significant pockets of urban poverty have
appeared. Slum-like communities have formed around Tirana and
other major cities, lacking urban infrastructure and services.
Children from these communities often have to walk for about an
hour to reach school. It is estimated that in Tirana there are
about 800 street children. Parents working abroad often leave
their children with grandparents or relatives who in some cases
are not able to take adequate care of them. The number of
elderly living alone and without help has risen. Problems such
as drug abuse, prostitution, trafficking in women, child abuse,
and other social problems have also increased.
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Access to health
services in Albania is limited and services tend to be of poor
quality. Budgetary spending on health in Albania (2.1 percent of
GDP in 1999) is one of the lowest in the region and since 1990
has fallen significantly in real terms. Currently, 30 percent of
existing health centers are not functioning due to a variety of
reasons. Albania has fewer physicians and nurses than other
countries in the region. Large rehabilitation needs still exist
for the physical infrastructure. Informal payments for health
services which are supposed to be free are a common phenomenon.
Albania compares unfavorably with other countries in the region
with respect to infant and maternal mortality rates. In
contrast, both male and female life expectancy in Albania are
high, notwithstanding the fact that they seem to have fallen
since 1991 (Tables 1 and 2, Appendix C). Available evidence
indicates that in north-eastern areas of the country
malnutrition is present in around one quarter of children.
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Enrollment rates
in education, particularly at the secondary level and especially
for children from rural areas have fallen since 1990 (Table 3,
Appendix C). As a result, the expected duration of schooling of
children has dropped to below 10 years. This drop occurred
against the background of a decline in public expenditures on
education from 3.8 percent of GDP in 1995 to 2.8 percent of GDP
in 1999, much below the level in neighboring countries. The
declining enrollment rates reflect a deterioration in the
quality of education, the diminishing relevance of traditional
forms of vocational and technical training, as well as the
increased opportunity costs of attending school. During the last
ten years about 3 percent of children have dropped out of school
each year, which means that illiteracy which had been virtually
eradicated in Albania, could be rising again. There are also
serious concerns about the quality of education. In some urban
areas the number of pupils per classroom now exceeds 40, while
especially in rural areas the percentage of unqualified teachers
is quite high. In addition, many schools still are in poor
condition (leaking roofs, missing windows, no heat).
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Access to basic
services is far from universal and services are often not
reliable. In urban areas about 80 percent of the population have
access to piped water, access levels in rural areas are
considerable lower. Furthermore, an urban household on average
has running water for only 2-3 hours a day. About 40 percent of
the urban population has a sewerage connection. No sewerage
treatment facility exists in the whole country, and sewerage is
discarded directly into rivers, lakes and the sea. Because of
the poor condition of existing pipes, sewerage often
contaminates drinking water. Because of the obvious health
risks, a high chlorine concentration is used to kill bacteria in
piped water. Access levels for electricity are high, but there
are frequent disruptions in the service, especially during the
winter months.
III. Key Elements for a Poverty Reduction Strategy
A. Sustainable and
Inclusive Economic Growth
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The promotion of
sustainable growth and inclusive development is the overarching
priority in Albania’s development and poverty reduction
strategy. A poverty reduction strategy for Albania should
therefore focus on a fair distribution of the benefits of growth
for the entire population and should take into account existing
social capital at the community level. In the past sustainable
growth has been a main pillar of Albania’s economic program
and structural reforms have been aimed at achieving better
governance and improving social cohesion. The PRSP approach
provides Albania with the opportunity to deepen these efforts by
focusing more clearly on poverty reduction as a policy goal and
by formulating the strategy in a participatory fashion thereby
increasing ownership.
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Poverty reduction
requires stronger public and private sector institutions that
can operate in a transparent and accountable fashion and that
are accessible to the entire population, including the poor.
Economic activities in Albania have been severely constrained by
the weak institutional capacity for enforcement and the lack of
transparency in administration which have fostered the
development of corrupt practices. Since the 1997 crisis,
progress has been made in building a framework for improved and
transparent public organizations in cooperation with the World
Bank. However, the government realizes that more needs to be
done to improve the targeting, transparency, and effectiveness
of expenditures and to increase Albania's capacity to absorb
foreign aid. As a step in this direction, a medium-term
expenditure framework (MTEF) is being introduced to improve the
budget planning process and to facilitate more effective
expenditure prioritization (see section IV.B).
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In recognition of
the important role that the public sector must play in ensuring
sustainable growth through improved human capital, the
government is taking a number of actions aimed at enhancing the
inclusiveness and citizen-responsiveness of Albania’s public
institutions. These include establishing a fully functional
People’s Advocate (ombudsman), establishing a Civil Service
Commission, and appointing a Central Elections Commission. Also,
complementary measures are being taken to improve the delivery
of health, education and social services.
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The government
has also initiated major steps to reform the judicial system by:
upgrading the quality of legal education; improving the
functioning of the judicial system; creating a system for
out-of-court resolution of commercial cases; and, making
essential legal information more accessible. The government
intends to complement these steps, particularly by anti-
corruption measures, in cooperation with the World Bank and
other donors within the framework of the Stability Pact. The
anti-corruption program is a major component of public sector
and judicial reform which is essential for building a more
transparent and accountable state in Albania. It is also vital
for poverty alleviation, because studies show that corruption
affects the poor more.
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Reducing poverty
also requires community-based activities that develop
institutions and social cohesion from the bottom up, and build
on the traditions and social conventions that govern the
behavior and actions of individuals. The absence of these
institutions impedes economic development and increases poverty.
In addition to supporting public sector reform, the government’s
strategy focuses on building institutions rooted in local
culture, enjoying the full trust and ownership of the community
and community-driven programs. These programs would stimulate
growth and alleviate poverty in rural areas.
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In line with this
view that strong growth remains the main instrument for
sustained improvement in the living conditions of the population
, and given the strong links between economic stability and
growth, the government has, in consultation with the IMF,
elaborated a macroeconomic framework for the next three years
which projects that Albania’s economy will expand at a growth
rate of 8 percent over the next three years (Appendix A). This
framework is underpinned by a comprehensive set of structural
reforms - including financial sector reforms, privatization of
the remaining state-owned enterprises, and measures to create an
institutional and legislative environment conducive to foreign
and domestic investment. These reforms as well as those measures
geared more specifically towards poverty reduction are
summarized in the attached policy matrix (Appendix B).
B. Human Development
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The Government
recognizes that economic growth that does not translate into
improvements in the standard of living for everyone is socially,
politically, economically and environmentally unsustainable. To
ensure that sustainable economic growth is inclusive in Albania,
the government will therefore promote human development through
the design and implementation of comprehensive and integrated
strategies in health, education, child poverty, and social
protection sectors.
B.1 Health
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Against the
background of unsatisfactory health outcomes – in particular
for children – and poor access of the population to health
services, the government’s objectives are to improve the
health status of the Albanian population, to ensure full access
to primary health care regardless of income level, and to ensure
comparability in access to health services between rural and
urban areas. Priority will therefore be given to reforms in the
health sector, particularly in public health measures and
preventive and primary care services. The Ministry of Health’s
program calls for undertaking measures to improve institutional
capacity in the provision of public health services,
particularly in ensuring full coverage of vaccination programs
and in improving the monitoring and treatment of infectious
diseases. The government will also develop a program that will
provide better family planning and reproductive health services
in order to improve the health status of women and children.
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The government
will give high priority to increasing the level and
effectiveness of public health expenditures which have fallen
significantly in recent years. It will also finalize, in
cooperation with WHO and the World Bank, the National Health
Policy and Strategy document which deals with all aspects of the
Albanian health sector, e.g. financing, management,
institutional arrangements, etc. over the short- and
medium-term.
B.2 Education
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The government
aims to increase enrollment in basic and secondary education. In
basic education, the government will undertake an analysis of
the recent decline in gross enrollment rates. It will also
review the structure of the secondary education system in order
to make it more appropriate to current demands in the labor
market and identify measures for improving the quality of
secondary schooling. For the entire education system, the
government will adopt more appropriate curriculum standards,
improve arrangements for the supply of textbooks, and address
issues of the quality of teaching staff. It will also explore
how to improve the integration of internal migrants into the
education system. Furthermore, the government will use its
school mapping database to rationalize the allocation of
resources for school rehabilitation and construction.
B.3 Child Poverty
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The government
will pay particular attention to alleviating poverty and
vulnerability among children. The 1996 LSMS indicates that
incidence of poverty among children, particularly in rural
areas, is high. Moreover, other evidence indicates that in
north-eastern areas, malnutrition is observed in around one
quarter of children. In urban areas, the growing number of
street children needs to be addressed. The government intends to
address child poverty and vulnerability through its programs in
education, health and social protection. In the area of social
protection, the government will take steps to ensure adequate
income support to poor families with children. Introduction of
other programs, such as school feeding, food supplements for
infants and pregnant women, and assistance in kind to children
from poor families will also be considered.
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The government
will pay particular attention to protection of children without
parental care. As an alternative to their institutionalization,
foster care arrangements will be developed, including necessary
legislation, financial support to foster care providers and
appropriate monitoring and supervision institutions and
mechanisms. The government will prepare a plan for the
introduction of community based social care services (daily care
centers, family counseling centers, respite care centers, etc.)
in order to provide assistance and support to handicapped
children and their families, dysfunctional families, children
and youth with disturbed behavior and other vulnerable groups.
B.4 Labor Market and
Social Protection
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Currently, 18
percent (or about 239,000 people) of the workforce is officially
registered as unemployed. In order to create a flexible labor
market that promotes employment opportunities, the government
will review and, where necessary, revise its labor market
legislation and regulations, labor market policies and social
insurance programs. The Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs (MoLSA)
will examine the possibility of implementing public works
programs focusing on poor communities, particularly in rural
areas, and strengthening job counseling and job search
assistance for the unemployed. Well targeted, demand driven
training programs will continue to be implemented, with special
focus on training and retraining of workers who have been made
redundant by privatization, structural changes, etc. In
addition, efforts will be undertaken to improve labor
statistics.
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The government
will develop a plan for restructuring its unemployment insurance
program to improve its targeting consistent with Albania’s
level of social and economic development. The government will
also review its social insurance programs, with particular
emphasis on pensions. It will complete the actuarial evaluation
of the pension system by end-2000 and prepare reform proposals
in order to achieve its fiscal sustainability in the medium
term.
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The government
will review, by November 2000, its cash-benefit social
assistance program, with particular emphasis on the assessment
of its poverty impact in order to improve its targeting
effectiveness. The MoLSA has already initiated a pilot study for
Tirana to review its social assistance program. According to the
1996 LSMS data, the program was modestly effective in targeting
and contributing to the alleviation of poverty in the poorest
strata of the society and reducing consumption inequalities. The
MoLSA will complete and make operational its database on social
assistance beneficiaries. In addition to cash social assistance
programs, the government will prepare a plan for the development
of a system of community-based social care services in order to
improve the well-being of vulnerable groups, such as children
deprived of parental care, the disabled, single mothers, frail
elderly people living alone and dysfunctional families.
C. Rural and Urban
Development and Access To Basic Services
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The Poverty
Reduction Strategy will aim to identify incentives for inclusive
and sustainable economic development in order to ensure that all
sections of Albanian society benefit from growth, and broaden
income and employment opportunities for both the rural and urban
poor. Specifically, the government aims to increase access to
basic services (e.g. water, sewerage) for the entire population
and to improve the quality of these services.
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While a
fully-fledged policy to address rural poverty will be developed
in the PRSP, the government has already begun to address some of
these issues. Moreover, the government will remain committed to
improving efficiency in the agricultural sector, focusing on
land consolidation and the development of a rural land market.
It will also continue with the project for small-scale local
infrastructure improvements. The government will improve the
enabling environment for village savings and credit associations
and will expand the micro-credit rural savings scheme, which has
proved to be a very effective instrument. Based on the findings
of the PRSP, the Steering Committee will recommend to the
Albanian Development Fund (ADF) how to use ADF more efficiently
for poverty reduction and local development.
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The rural poor
are particularly vulnerable to natural resource degradation.
Therefore, the government will promote sustainable use and
management of natural resources, especially water, forests,
pastures, and fisheries. It will explore possibilities for
expanding community-based activities that have proven effective,
such as community forest and pasture management, water users
associations, and community-based institutional frameworks for
their operation and maintenance. It will also facilitate
fishermen’s associations in order to introduce community-based
marine resource management. The National Environmental Action
Plan will be completed providing the framework for sustainable
natural resource use. In addition, it will develop a plan to
address the linkage between energy and poverty, with the
intention of improving the targeting of subsidized energy and
increasing access of the poor to competitive sources of energy.
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The government
will take steps to tackle problems associated with rapid
urbanization that has occurred since 1991. Massive internal
migration to urban areas has caused large informal settlements
on suburban public land. An estimated 20 to 30 percent of
Tirana's current residents are reported to live in such
settlements mostly without title registration and with little or
no access to essential urban infrastructure. Additional problems
have resulted such as degradation of the urban environment due
to free discharge of sewage and disposal of solid waste. Pockets
of urban poverty have appeared as migrant families tend to be
excluded from the formal urban fabric. Through initiatives such
as the ongoing Urban Land Management Project as well as
community-based social services, the government will provide
essential infrastructure networks in informal settlements with
community participation and ownership; develop and implement
clear rules to regularize and legalize informal settlements to
achieve social cohesion in urban areas; and nurture partnership
among central and local governments, and communities to set up
effective institutional frameworks for the urban sector.
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The Ministry of
Public Works will examine the issue of homelessness that has
resulted from the privatization of state-owned homes, the
pyramid schemes, and migration to urban areas. It will also
evaluate deficiencies in water supply and quality of water, and
garbage collection and disposal in both urban and rural areas.
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The government
will evaluate its strategy for strengthening local governments
with a view to fully ensure the realization of its poverty
reduction objectives. The Strategic Plan on Decentralization was
approved in December 1999 and a task-force is currently
preparing the legal framework and an action plan. Care will be
taken to ensure that the delegation of tasks to subordinate
levels of government and funding allocations will not conflict
with poverty reduction goals.
IV. Institutional Mechanisms for the PRSP
A. Institutional
Arrangements
-
The government
has established a PRSP Steering Committee to oversee the
development of the poverty reduction strategy. The Committee
will report to the Council of Ministers and will comprise
members of the Economic Policy Committee and representatives
from Parliament, civil society and the donor community. The
Minister of Finance will act as the coordinator for the
preparation of the PRSP. An inter-ministerial PRSP Working
Group, reporting to the Minister of Finance and the Steering
Committee, has been set up and will be responsible for the
day-to-day management of the PRSP exercise and for the
preparation of the draft PRSP. In those sectors in which
government policies and programs can have a significant impact
on poverty reduction, Sector Working Groups (SWGs) have been
established and will be responsible both for the development of
policies and strategies for inclusive development and for
defining priority programs and measures within the sector public
expenditure program.
B. Measures to
Strengthen Public Expenditure Management
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Implementation of
the government’s poverty reduction strategy will require that
weaknesses in the planning and management of public expenditure
be addressed. Measures being taken by the government to achieve
this include: (i) the introduction of a strategic approach
to the prioritisation of public expenditure under which
expenditure decisions will be explicitly linked to government
policies; (ii) the adoption of a three year time horizon
for the programming of public expenditure acknowledging that the
reform and restructuring of sector budgets needs to be
undertaken over the medium-term; (iii) the preparation of
investment and recurrent budgets within an integrated budget
framework that explicitly considers the downstream recurrent
cost implications of investment projects; (iv) the
refocusing of budget management towards the realisation of
outputs and outcomes rather than the utilisation of inputs.
Measures will also be required to improve the monitoring and
tracking of public expenditures to ensure that resources reach
intended programme beneficiaries.
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With the
assistance of the World Bank and other donors, the government
has begun to address these requirements through the introduction
of a medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF) and other
initiatives to strengthen budget implementation procedures. The
MTEF process will ensure that sector policies and public
expenditures have a clear poverty reduction focus and are
designed within a realistic macroeconomic resource framework.
Preparation of the initial MTEF, covering the 2001-03 period,
has started and will be completed by June 2000. The initial MTEF
will include sector expenditure strategies for health,
education, transport, public works as well as labor and social
protection. These will explicitly address poverty reduction
goals and will identify the measures necessary to improve the
targeting of budget expenditures. Following a decision by the
Council of Ministers, the MTEF will provide the basis for the
preparation of the budget call circular for the 2001 Budget and
for the evaluation by the Ministry of Finance of the subsequent
budget requests from the line ministries.
-
Linked to the
MTEF process, the government is also implementing initiatives
aimed at improving budget implementation. These include: (i) revising
the budget classification system in order to allow more
meaningful targeting and monitoring of public expenditure;
(ii) strengthening Treasury operations to ensure more
timely release o funds and better reporting of expenditure;
(iii) ensuring full recording of externally financed
project expenditures in the government’s accounts; and
(iv) increasing budgetary responsibility of local
governments for services which can be more effectively planned
and managed at the local level.
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The preparation
of the PRSP will be closely linked with the MTEF process in
2001. As part of the PRSP process, poverty reduction guidelines
will be prepared by January 2001 for agriculture, health,
education, public works, and labor and social protection. These
guidelines will be incorporated into the MTEF budget framework
memorandum to be prepared in early 2001. Subsequent preparation
of the MTEF and PRSP documents will be undertaken concurrently,
thereby ensuring consistency between the government’s poverty
reduction strategy and its expenditure plans.
V. Participatory Process and Timetable for the PRSP
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The interim PRSP
was prepared by the Ministry of Finance following extensive
consultations with line ministries and other government entities
(e.g. statistical institute INSTAT). Comments were also sought
from a few local research institutes and from a number of
international organizations such as EBRD and UNDP. The
preparation of the interim PRSP was launched in January 2000
with the setting up of working groups in line ministries which
focused on the poverty reduction strategy. With assistance from
the World Bank and the IMF, meetings were also conducted in
March to brief government officials, civil society, and donors
about the new initiative and in particular the participatory
aspect of the exercise. Furthermore, the government has placed a
series of articles dealing with the PRSP in one Albanian
newspaper which focuses on economic issues.
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The government
will follow a participatory approach for the formulation,
implementation and monitoring of the PRSP (Appendix D). Based on
an analysis of the current level of participation in Albania, a
complete stakeholder analysis will be carried out. In
preparation for this analysis the government has already
compiled a list of organizations that line ministries have
identified as important in their areas. In the comprehensive
stakeholder analysis the government will involve a European
research institute in addition to domestic partners. Following
this analysis, the government will commit to clear selection
criteria for the participation in the consultations process, to
ensure broad representation of stakeholders and to make the
selection process as transparent as possible. All national
organizations and associations are urged to examine how they can
contribute to the achievement of PRSP goals. They are requested
to include PRSP action plans in their agenda, with a view to
developing agreements for mutual collaboration for
implementation and ongoing monitoring.
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Institutional
mechanisms for the consultations with stakeholders, which will
take place during the second half of 2000, will include focus
groups, interviews, workshops, conferences, etc. To ensure that
stakeholders will be able to fully participate in the process,
the government will continue with the public information
campaign to increase knowledge about the PRSP beginning in May.
The government will also disseminate widely background
information for the PRSP process to relevant stakeholders. The
participatory process for the PRSP will culminate in a national
stakeholder workshop to validate and finalize the Poverty
Reduction Strategy in June 2001. The complete work plan for the
preparation of the PRSP, which also includes extensive data
gathering and analysis efforts as well as the PRSP/MTEF work
outlined above, is contained in Appendix E.
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The government
intends to place particular emphasis on providing information to
and consulting with foreign donors. In this context, sectoral
donor roundtables which have been discontinued since the end of
the Kosovo crisis will be revived for health and education and a
new roundtable will be established in the area of social
protection. In addition, the MTEF exercise envisages the
presentation of the government’s overall expenditure
strategies and priorities to the donor community during the
second part of the year. The government intends to use this
mechanism to also consult more comprehensively with donors on
the PRSP process.
VI. Monitoring Indicators
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The government
will undertake a series of measures in order to improve and/or
establish appropriate mechanisms for the regular and timely
collection, analysis and publication of data required for the
monitoring of relevant social indicators related to the
well-being of the population. INSTAT, in cooperation with the
World Bank, will, by September 2000, compile a poverty update
based on the 1998 Household Living Conditions Survey. A
qualitative participatory poverty assessment will also be
conducted by September 2000.
-
However, data gap
problem for preparation of a PRSP still remain which need to be
resolved. A poverty profile based on the 2000 household budget
survey will be prepared by mid-2001.The population census to be
carried out in April 2001 will provide the sampling frame for
undertaking a fully representative living standard measurement
survey scheduled for the second half of 2001. Thereafter, a
regular program of household income and expenditure surveys will
be instituted. The results of all surveys will be widely
publicized and the government is committed to consult with
relevant stakeholders on these results through appropriate
channels (e.g. workshops, conferences). Setting up mechanisms to
collect data for several more sector-specific indicators (e.g.
dropout and completion rates in education and a monitoring
system for infectious diseases) is already part of the work plan
set out in the interim PRSP (see Appendix B).
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In order to
gather more information on the health and nutrition status of
children, the government, together with UNICEF, will undertake a
Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey (MICS). It will also begin to
compile a set of reliable indicators necessary for the
assessment of progress in social development, including
indicators of the health, nutrition and education status of the
population, and access to basic social services and utilities.
These indicators will include life expectancy at birth,
immunization rates, infant, under-five and maternal mortality
rates, primary and secondary education enrollment rates,
completion and drop-out rates, access to safe water and
sanitation and other social indicators of development. These
indicators will be compiled and published annually.
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In addition to
more data, extensive research is necessary to understand more
fully the nature and causes of poverty and subsequently to gauge
the effectiveness of various policy interventions. The capacity
to conduct such analysis needs to be strengthened in Albania. In
this context the government is considering creating a unit
responsible for poverty analysis and monitoring affiliated with
INSTAT or MoLSA. The first tasks of such a unit would include
the compilation of a poverty map based on available data as well
as drawing up an action plan for further data collection and
analysis.
-
At present, the
government intends to monitor progress of its poverty reduction
strategy based on a set of indicators consisting of (i) male and
female life expectancy, (ii) infant mortality rate, (iii)
maternal mortality rate, (iv) under-five mortality rate, (v)
immunization rates, (vi) basic education enrollment rate, and
(vii) secondary education enrollment rate (Appendix C). In
addition, the results of the 1998 Household Budget Survey and of
the 2000 Household Budget Survey will be used to assess progres.
APPENDICES
Appendix A: Three-year Macroeconomic Framework
Appendix B: Matrix of Economic and Financial Policies
(pdf,
45
KB)
Appendix C: Monitoring Indicators
(pdf, 1 2
KB)
Table 1: Life expectancy and fertility indicators, 1990-1998
Table 2: Health indicators, 1990-1998
Table 3: Education indicators, 1990-1998
Appendix D: Participation Plan for the PRSP
Appendix E: Work Program for the Preparation of the PRSP
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